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Tuesday 11 December 2018

Lost can find his way

I can warm up for the National with a Grade One win on Translation

Top class: Lostintranslation can score at the top level for Robbie
Top class: Lostintranslation can score at the top level for Robbie

It is very rare that we get ground this testing at Aintree but I'm loving it and I know Raz De Maree will too.

The more rain we get the more confident I'll be and, with more rain and a bit of luck I hope to be bang there with every chance of etching my name in Aintree Grand National history once again.

You could ride a 100/1 shot any other day of the week and never think you have a chance but each one of the 40 jockeys riding in the National tomorrow will think they can win, no matter what the price is - I'm no different.

I know the statistics would say I can't win because Raz De Maree is a 13-year-old but I can tell you that Raz De Maree doesn't follow the statistics or read the papers and, having sat on him yesterday, he certainly doesn't feel like a 13-year-old so that doesn't dent my confidence any bit at all.

Spin

On Shanahan's Turn yesterday I got a great spin around and it's nice to get a feel for the track before today but Raz De Maree will dictate to me how I ride it.

He's not a fast horse, he loves a long trip and he just won't have the speed to go with the early pace so I'll be dropped in letting him jump around in his own time and then hopefully picking them off one-by-one when Raz De Maree tells me that he's ready to go forward.

Looking at the rest of the field I would expect to be seeing Baie Des Iles in contention going to the last few fences as she is a mare that will also love the ground conditions.

The other couple of Irish horses that will have more behind them than in front of them will be Total Recall and Anibale Fly.

There'll be plenty of screaming for room during this race, we'll all be jockeying for a position that suits us but often you'd be asked by one of the lads upsides you if your jumping well or how your travelling.

It is usually someone that is starting to tire that is asking the questions and if you are going well you probably wouldn't answer as you are either focusing or dreaming of winning the National - or maybe both.

I hope not to be answering anyone today!

I've got a few rides before the National and that is a good thing because we all have to be there for a briefing at 12 o'clock and it's an awful long day hanging around if you are not riding until 5.15 so it's good to be busy and I'd have a couple of little chances.

We saw it last year and we've seen it again this year over the two days that Colin Tizzard's horses just love it here at Aintree.

Hopefully Lostintranslation (2.25) can win the first Grade One today.

I thought he ran well at Cheltenham and was unlucky not to finish third or fourth that day but the step up in trip will suit him here, although he'd probably prefer better ground.

Black Op will be hard to beat on his Cheltenham form but very few of Colin's have finished out of the money on the first two days and fingers crossed this lad won't either.

I won the Betway Handicap Chase last year on Sizing Codelco for Colin and he didn't look to have much of a chance going into the race and the same could be said about Viconte Du Noyer (3.40) as his form has been a bit disappointing, but if he reproduces his best here he's give them a run for their money.

For me Petit Mouchoir (3.00) should win the Grade One novice chase.

I don't think he'll have as much competition for the lead here as he did at Cheltenham and if Davy Russell can get him to settle I would expect he'll just have too much class for his rivals around here.

Better

Aintree is a track that would suit him better than Cheltenham and the Irish novice chasers just look to be a good bit better than anything else around.

In the Stayers' Hurdle I thought Sam Spinner (4.20) might come good here.

On this ground and on a flatter track he should be seen at his best and he wasn't disgraced behind Penhill at Cheltenham.

Dream Berry (1.45) has just had one run this season and that was at Cheltenham so I'd expect him to be a worthy favourite in the first race and, in the finale, I actually hope I'll be too busy celebrating to watch this but Michael's Mount (6.20) would be my pick for Ian Williams and promising conditional jockey James Bowen.

Aintree

1.45 Dream Berry

2.25 Lostintranslation

3.00 Petit Mouchoir

3.40 Victonte Du Noyer (e/w)

4.20 Sam Spinner

5.15 Raz De Maree

6.20 Michael's Mount

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