Trump may get just half of total who watched Obama's first inauguration
Hundreds of thousands of people are expected to clog Washington for Donald Trump's inauguration and a major demonstration the day after, but how many will actually arrive to party or protest is an open question.
Officials estimate that 800,000 to 900,000 people will be present on Friday for the inauguration, a celebration that takes over the city, closing roads, taxing the city's Metro transit system and making getting around difficult.
Trump himself has promised "massive crowds" but just what that will mean is unclear.
Hundreds of thousands of others are expected on Saturday for the Women's March on Washington to raise the profile of women's rights.
Trump showed he could draw crowds during the campaign, but his supporters weren't so quick to make plans to be in Washington for his inauguration.
Elliott Ferguson, the president of Destination DC, the city's convention and tourism bureau, said that before Election Day hotels had more events tentatively planned for a Hillary Clinton victory than a Donald Trump one. And when Trump won, the "level of enthusiasm" and demand for hotel rooms did not immediately reach that of past recent inaugurations, he said.
"No one's phones were ringing" on the day after the election, he said.
Things started to pick up after New Year's but some hotels have cut back minimum-night stays from four nights to two. Some hotels are only 50pc full, though higher-end hotels apparently have more bookings, he said.
"It's been much, much slower than anyone would have anticipated for a first-term president," he said.
Saturday's march has helped drive more reservations, he said.
"The moment it was confirmed it was happening in the city our hotels were seeing reservations take place," he said.
City planners are betting that Trump's inauguration is more like President Barack Obama's second inauguration in 2013, which drew more than 800,000, rather than Obama's first in 2009, which drew 1.8 million people.
But while officials have experience and historical data to draw on to estimate crowds for Friday, guessing how many people will show up for Saturday's demonstration is harder.
Women's March on Washington organizers said in applying for a demonstration permit that they expected 200,000 people.
Christopher Geldart, the District of Columbia's homeland security director, thinks the march will draw more than that.
Some 1,800 buses have registered to park in the city on January 21, which would mean nearly 100,000 people coming in just by bus, Geldart said. Amtrak trains into and out of the city are also fully booked on that day, Geldart said.